Tag Archives | 2012


See if you find this argument familiar. Republicans hold the lead in key states, but this unanimous agreement among election forecasters conceals an Achilles heel: We all rely on the same poll data. What if that data is off?… Even in the week before the election, polls are not perfect….When errors occur, the outcome tends […]

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Following from in Front

Top Stories of 2012: #4 Story #4 is about America’s current foreign policy, but in this article, my goal is not to recap my previous coverage from this year but to complete it by providing an overview of the big picture. The big picture of our foreign policy is that America is following from in […]

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Romanticism and Realism

Top Stories of 2012: #5 This is the time I traditionally offer my overview of the top five stories of the year as covered in my newsletter. I can’t say “as covered in TIA Daily” or “as covered in The Tracinski Letter,” because the first half of the year was covered in one, the second […]

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Bizarro 2004

Part 2: The Man Who Wasn’t There The best analogy I have heard for the election is that it was Bizarro 2004. It’s a reference to an old plotline from Superman cartoons about a kind of alternative Earth where everything is the opposite. The idea is that this is just like the 2004 Bush vs. […]

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Bizarro 2004

Part 1: What Didn’t Cause Mitt Romney to Lose Last week, I posed three big questions about why advocates of free markets and limited government don’t seem to be able to gain support among the young, racial minorities, and city dwellers. I’m going to get to my own answers soon. In the meantime, thanks to […]

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Three Big Questions

I’ll be on the radio from 3 p.m. to 6 p.m. Eastern time this afternoon with Joe Thomas on The Daily Constitutional. The flagship station is WCHV, 107.5 FM, in Charlottesville, but the show is syndicated throughout Central Virginia, from Richmond to Roanoke, and you can find a local station or listen live online at […]

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The Other Side Gets a Vote

As I write this, it is approaching midnight, and it is clear that President Obama has very narrowly won re-election. I mean very narrowly. As I write, he is only one-tenth of a percentage point above Mitt Romney in the popular vote count (49.3% to 49.2%). Many votes from the West Coast are still being […]

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What Might Be and Ought to Be

Predictions for the Presidential and Senate Races With a few days left to the election, it’s time to offer my prediction. This is a somewhat unscientific projection. I don’t use reams of data and fancy computer models like Nate Silver, and that’s a good thing, because I think that pretends to a level of scientific […]

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Why Mitt Romney Is Winning

Back in July, I wrote an article (picked up at RealClearPolitics) making so bold as to predict how the election was going to play out and that Mitt Romney would win. That prediction looked bad for a while and looks a good deal better now, so it’s worth taking a look at how the campaign […]

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Who to Support in the Election

No, this article is not my big presidential endorsement statement. After all, it’s hardly a mystery where I stand: I oppose Barack Obama and support Paul Ryan—er, that is, Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan. My full argument against Obama and for Romney-Ryan is coming soon, but in the meantime, I want to offer some advice […]

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